Spatial and temporal trends of dengue infections in Curaçao: A 21-year analysis.

Dengue viruses are a significant global health concern, causing millions of infections annually and putting approximately half of the world's population at risk, as reported by the World Health Organization (WHO). Understanding the spatial and temporal patterns of dengue virus spread is crucial for effective prevention of future outbreaks. By investigating these patterns, targeted dengue surveillance and control measures can be improved, aiding in the management of outbreaks in dengue-affected regions. Curaçao, where dengue is endemic, has experienced frequent outbreaks over the past 25 years. To examine the spatial and temporal trends of dengue outbreaks in Curaçao, this study employs an interdisciplinary and multi-method approach. Data on >6500 cases of dengue infections in Curaçao between the years 1995 and 2016 were used. Temporal and spatial statistics were applied. The Moran's I index identified the presence of spatial autocorrelation for incident locations, allowing us to reject the null hypothesis of spatial randomness. The majority of cases were recorded in highly populated areas and a relationship was observed between population density and dengue cases. Temporal analysis demonstrated that cases mostly occurred from October to January, during the rainy season. Lower average temperatures, higher precipitation and a lower sea surface temperature appear to be related to an increase in dengue cases. This effect has a direct link to La Niña episodes, which is the cooling phase of El Niño Southern Oscillation. The spatial and temporal analyses conducted in this study are fundamental to understanding the timing and locations of outbreaks, and ultimately improving dengue outbreak management.

The clinical manifestation and the influence of age and comorbidities on long-term chikungunya disease and health-related quality of life: a 60-month prospective cohort study in Curaçao.

BACKGROUND: Persistent rheumatic symptoms and its impact on health-related quality of life (QoL), induced by the Indian Ocean Lineage (IOL) chikungunya virus (CHIKV) genotype have been widely studied. In 2014, a major CHIKV outbreak of the Asian genotype occurred in Curaçao, after which we established a longitudinal cohort in 2015, to follow the long-term CHIKV sequalae. Currently, the long-term clinical manifestations and its impact on QoL induced by the Asian CHIKV genotype, followed prospectively through time, and the association of age and comorbidities with rheumatic symptoms persistence, 60 months (M60) after disease onset is unknown. METHODS: The cohort of 304 laboratory confirmed patients were followed prospectively in time at 3-16 months (M3-16), 30 months (M30), and M60 after disease onset. Demographic and clinical characteristics, and the 36-item short-form survey (SF-36) QoL status were collected through questionnaires. At M60, QoL scores were compared to general population (CHIK-) norms. RESULTS: A total of 169 (56%) patients participated (74.6% female, mean age 56.1 years) at all time points, 107 (63%) were classified as recovered and 62 (37%) as affected. The affected patients reported an increase in the prevalence of arthralgia (P .001) and arthralgia in the lower extremities (P < .001), at M30 compared to M3-16. At M60, in comparison to recovered patients, affected patients reported a higher prevalence of recurrent rheumatic symptoms of moderate to severe pain, irrespective of age and comorbidities, and a higher prevalence of non-rheumatic symptoms (P < .001). Arthralgia in the upper (odds ratio (OR): 4.79; confidence interval (CI): 2.01-11.44; P < .001) and lower (OR: 8.68; CI: 3.47-21.69; P < .001) extremities, and headache (OR: 3.85; CI: 1.40-10.54; P = .009) were associated with being affected. The SF-36 QoL scores of the recovered patients were less impaired over time compared to the QoL scores of the affected patients. At M60, the QoL scores of the recovered patients were comparable to the CHIK- QoL scores. CONCLUSIONS: Rheumatic and non-rheumatic symptoms, and QoL impairment may persist, 60 months following infection with the Asian CHIKV genotype, similar to the IOL genotype disease sequelae. Further research is needed to follow the clinical manifestations and QoL impact of each CHIKV genotype.

Long-term Chikungunya sequelae and quality of life 2.5 years post-acute disease in a prospective cohort in Curaçao.

BACKGROUND: Little is known about the persistence and impact of non-rheumatic symptoms after acute chikungunya disease. We have studied the clinical presentation and long-term impact of rheumatic and non-rheumatic symptoms on health related quality of life (QoL) 2.5 years after disease onset. Additionally, the validity of the Curaçao Long-Term Chikungunya Sequelae (CLTCS) score in classifying disease severity over time was evaluated. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: This prospective cohort study followed 248 chikungunya patients. Symptoms and SF-36 QoL were evaluated during baseline and follow-up at 2.5 years using questionnaires. Chikungunya disease status was classified using the CLTCS-score. At 2.5 years after disease onset patients were classified as being recovered (43%), mildly (35%) or highly (22%) affected. In comparison to mildly affected, highly affected patients reported the highest prevalence of ongoing rheumatic and non-rheumatic/psychological symptoms, with increased prevalence of arthralgia in the lower extremities (p = .01) and fatigue (p = .049) over time, and higher pain intensity (p < .001). Compared to mildly affected, being highly affected was associated with weakness in the lower extremities (OR: 1.90; CI: 1.29-2.80, p = .001) and worsened physical and mental QoL impairment. CONCLUSIONS: Patients are both physically and psychologically affected by rheumatic and non-rheumatic symptoms of long-term chikungunya disease. The CLTCS-score is an easy to use instrument for classifying long-term chikungunya disease severity and impact and can facilitate health care providers in identifying highly affected patients who are prone to develop severe QoL impairment. Highly affected patients are recommended to be treated in a multidisciplinary setting to improve physical and psychological functioning, and QoL.

Consequences of a recent past dengue infection for acute and long-term chikungunya outcome: A retrospective cohort study in Curaçao.

BACKGROUND: Dengue and chikungunya co-infections are an emerging threat to public health in tropical and sub-tropical areas. This study investigates acute and long-term clinical presentation patterns of chikungunya against a backdrop of preceding dengue infection and determines predicting factors for long-term chikungunya sequelae. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was performed in 2015, including 299 previously confirmed chikungunya cases, of which 162 subjects were assessed for dengue serology at disease onset. RESULTS: Those with previous dengue infection (35.2% of the examined population) had a similar acute disease presentation, and suffered (not statistically significantly) more frequently from long-term musculoskeletal and neuropsychological symptoms compared to chikungunya-only patients. Patients with a preceding dengue infection (vs. those without) (OR = 4.17; p = 0.004), female sex (OR = 3.17; p = 0.034) and pre-existing joint disease (OR = 2.95; p = 0.031) had a higher risk of developing aggravated long-term chikungunya. Chronic disease (sequelae lasting >90 days) was predicted by an age between 41 and 60 (OR = 3.07; p = 0.009) and concomitant cardiovascular disease (OR = 4.08; p = 0.010), but not by a preceding dengue infection. CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests several predicting factors of, and a possible link between preceding dengue and chikungunya infection and aggravated long-term sequelae, which should be interpreted in the light of the limitations of this study.

Long-term Chikungunya Sequelae in Curaçao: Burden, Determinants, and a Novel Classification Tool.

Background: Beyond the acute illness phase, chikungunya constitutes a public health problem given its chronic disease phase, which may include long-term arthralgia, arthritis, fatigue, and depression. Currently, there is no consensus on how to define chikungunya chronicity. Methods: A comprehensive cross-sectional survey was performed in Curaçao in June and July 2015 to evaluate 304 adult laboratory-confirmed chikungunya patients 3-16 months after diagnosis. We developed a novel tool, the Curaçao Long-Term Chikungunya Sequelae (CLTCS) score, to classify chronic chikungunya disease and estimate its burden regarding disease duration, clinical presentation, and impact on quality of life. Results: Disease persistence was estimated to be 79% one month after symptom onset and 64% after 400 days. Chikungunya persistence was characterized by higher proportions of arthralgia, weakness, myalgia, and age 41-60 years. Individuals were classified as "highly affected," "mildly affected," and "recovered." "Highly affected" disease status was associated with clinical complaints (arthralgia, weakness, loss of vitality, and being diabetic) and major decreases in quality-of-life scores. Conclusions: In the Caribbean, a high proportion of chikungunya patients remains chronically affected. We propose the CLTCS as a suitable score to easily and rapidly classify the severity of chikungunya chronic disease and to assess the need for symptom-alleviating treatment.

Risk factors associated with Campylobacter jejuni infections in Curaçao, Netherlands Antilles.

A steady increase in the incidence of Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS) with a seasonal preponderance, almost exclusively related to Campylobacter jejuni, and a rise in the incidence of laboratory-confirmed Campylobacter enteritis have been reported from Curaçao, Netherlands Antilles. We therefore investigated possible risk factors associated with diarrhea due to epidemic C. jejuni. Typing by pulsed-field gel electrophoresis identified four epidemic clones which accounted for almost 60% of the infections. One hundred six cases were included in a case-control study. Infections with epidemic clones were more frequently observed in specific districts in Willemstad, the capital of Curaçao. One of these clones caused infections during the rainy season only and was associated with the presence of a deep well around the house. Two out of three GBS-related C. jejuni isolates belonged to an epidemic clone. The observations presented point toward water as a possible source of Campylobacter infections.